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Bitcoin Breaks $50K Mark Retail FOMO Absent During Rally

 

The Bitcoin’s price surpassing the $50,300 mark has drawn attention, notably due to the absence of retail trader FOMO (fear of missing out) and the avoidance of high leverage, which has historically characterized volatile market movements.

Over the last week, Bitcoin has seen a remarkable 17.5% increase in value, breaching the $50,000 threshold for the first time since December 2021. While the recent price action can be partly attributed to the inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which commenced trading on January 11th, the question remains: Are these inflows robust enough to sustain further gains above $50,000?

Major mutual fund giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, and ARK 21Shares have successfully launched spot Bitcoin ETFs, amassing over $10 billion in assets in under a month. The anticipated surge in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows over the coming months, as trading firms complete their due diligence on these newly introduced investment avenues, adds to the optimism surrounding Bitcoin’s price trajectory.

In the current landscape, retail investors are closely monitoring both macroeconomic indicators and developments in the cryptocurrency market. The recent record-breaking performance of the S&P 500, coupled with impending quarterly earnings reports from key companies like Coca-Cola, Airbnb, Coinbase, and DoorDash, underscores the dynamic nature of investor sentiment. Additionally, upcoming United States inflation Consumer Price Index data, expected on February 13th, will play a pivotal role in shaping the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, potentially influencing asset allocation strategies.

Exchanges’ top traders BTC long-to-short ratio, 12 hours. Source: Coinglass

On the professional trading front, data reveals an uptick in leveraged long positions among top traders on platforms like Binance and OKX. This indicates growing confidence among whales and arbitrage desks in Bitcoin’s upward trajectory, particularly following its breach of the $49,000 mark on February 12th.

While uncertainties persist, such as macroeconomic volatility and weaknesses in the Chinese real estate market, these factors also present opportunities for investors seeking alternative assets to hedge against inflationary pressures. The sustainable ascent beyond $50,000, characterized by prudent leverage practices and a lack of retail FOMO, underscores the importance of continued inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs in supporting the ongoing rally.

Wasif Shakir

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